Cryptocurrency has been on a massive run in the past few years, led higher by Bitcoin, the granddaddy of them all. Bitcoin has thrived for years on a steady diet of outrageous projections and ceaseless “hopium.” The crypto has soared since late 2022, now trading well above the $100,000 mark, with the total value of coins exceeding $2.3 trillion. But what’s in store for the rest of 2025 and beyond? Forecasters are signaling that further rises are on the way.
While price projections may be fun to hear, crypto prices thrive on optimism. Without increasing levels of bullishness, cryptocurrency would be worthless — and literally thousands of crypto coins have substantially no market price. According to some estimates, 18 million cryptos already exist.
Here is where some top financial firms and investment professionals are saying Bitcoin prices are going and why these price projections are vital to sustaining the crypto market.
Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 and beyond
Bitcoin went on a nice run last year, and the presidential election win of crypto-friendly Donald Trump helped drive Bitcoin past the $100,000 level in late 2024, after a strong start with the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. Bitcoin has done well in 2025, surging past $120,000 recently, as new crypto-friendly legislation tries to make crypto more accessible and regulated.
While crypto price projections are always rife with optimism, the climate is encouraging even more bullish estimates. Crypto traders and analysts have come up with any number of price projections for their favorite cryptocurrencies:
- Investment manager VanEck projects Bitcoin will rise to $180,000 in 2025. Meanwhile, the asset manager expects the crypto could soar to $2.9 million by 2050.
- Financial giant Charles Schwab predicts Bitcoin could reach $1 million.
- Noted venture capitalist Tim Draper estimates a year-end 2025 price of $250,000 for Bitcoin.
- Billionaire crypto investor Mike Novogratz foresees Bitcoin reaching $1 million.
- Standard Chartered projects a $200,000 Bitcoin price target in 2025.
- Analyst Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors predicts Bitcoin will hit $250,000 in 2025. In June, Lee suggested that Bitcoin could reach $3 million longer term.
- Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya suggested Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by October 2025 and tossed out a $1 million projection by 2040.
- But why not go bigger? One analyst at Fidelity Investments projects a $1 billion price target by 2038 or so.
- Amid all the furor, legendary investor Warren Buffett has struck a vastly different posture, saying he wouldn’t own all of Bitcoin for $25. In 2018, he called the crypto “probably rat poison squared.”
It’s clear there’s a massive amount of optimism in the crypto arena right now, and there’s really no constraint on what prices an analyst can throw out, with literally no penalty for being wrong.
What drives cryptocurrency prices
Cryptocurrency prices are driven only by sentiment, with the notable exception of stablecoins, which are actually backed by hard assets held by a fiduciary. Because of this setup, what crypto traders need more than anything is willing crypto buyers. The way to get them is by spreading optimism about crypto’s prospects and how it’s going to be worth much more in the future.
The lack of underlying fundamentals turbocharges the volatility in Bitcoin prices and makes the future path of prices very unpredictable.
— Greg McBride, CFA, Bankrate chief financial analyst
So, in the absence of intrinsic value, crypto prices are fueled exclusively by sentiment, and various crypto traders are trying to juice sentiment by naming ever-higher price targets. Of course, Bitcoin has demonstrated a strong history of “up and to the right” price performance for well over a decade now. And yes, plenty of analysts are making good-faith estimates of what Bitcoin and other cryptos will fetch. But it all plays into the euphoria needed to boost crypto prices higher and higher.
While crypto proponents say that Bitcoin’s total fixed issuance of 21 million coins gives the asset value, that’s misleading. There are many things that are much rarer, but that don’t have value at all (the glasses in your cupboard, for instance). What makes crypto (or anything) valuable is the demand for it, and that’s why maintaining an extremely optimistic outlook is important. Yes, Bitcoin’s fixed issuance is important, but only in the context of increasing the level of demand.
“Further, even though there is a scarcity to Bitcoin itself, there are new cryptocurrencies and tokens being created on a near-daily basis, so any demand for those, even temporarily, could rob demand from Bitcoin,” says McBride.
This process of ever-higher price targets sounds a lot like analysts are trying to build confidence in an asset that has no intrinsic value — that is, Bitcoin pricing is a literal confidence game.
Why cryptocurrency price projections are like trying to guess the number of drops in the ocean
Every single one of the predictions above is just an out-and-out guess based on the belief that more money from new investors will flood in and purchase Bitcoin and other cryptos. But isn’t this just the same thing that stock analysts do when they put a target price on a stock? No. Projections of crypto prices differ in a key fundamental way from projections for stock prices.
A stock price can be broken down into two parts: the underlying company’s earnings per share and the multiple that investors are paying for those earnings. Multiply those two numbers and you get the stock price. Earnings are an objective fact, but what investors will pay for those earnings changes depending on factors such as their optimism, whether it’s a bull market or bear market, whether the economy is growing, and so on. Analysts can come up with decent estimates for earnings, but they’re mostly just guessing about what investors will pay for those earnings.
Here’s the key difference with cryptocurrency: Crypto has no earnings nor indeed anything that backs its value. Stocks are backed by the company that issued them, and if the company grows its earnings, the stock will go up over time. In contrast, crypto prices rely exclusively on traders deciding to pay more for the crypto. So anyone who offers a crypto price projection is just pulling a number out of a hat, and that figure is almost always higher than today’s price.
Bottom line
Traders need to understand where the value of their investment comes from, and with crypto, the value driver is optimism. Because crypto is not backed by anything solid, its price relies entirely on sentiment, which is why prices move so violently when news changes traders’ perceptions.
Editorial Disclaimer: All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into investment strategies before making an investment decision. In addition, investors are advised that past investment product performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.
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